FUTURE OF LOGISTICS DEPENDENT ON SHOPPERS IN THEIR PYJAMAS

MARKET TRENDS

Today Australia's industrial property market remains among the most sought after sectors as occupier demand for industrial stock continues to grow.

Following reports from JLL, Colliers and CBRE, industrial property is now regarded as an institutional grade asset class.   Investors building their investment portfolios choosing to increase their exposure in the evolving sector.

 

JLL predict that the sector will demonstrate notable growth over the next decade, with Australia's investment in industrial and logistics to read $92 billion AUD in value by 2028.

Robust user fundamentals of average mid-20 year olds in PJ’s contributing to the result.

Source: JLL

Source: JLL

WHY?

  • JLL estimates that Australia's role in global investment is among the top five global industrial transaction volumes.

  • Population and household consumption growth.

  • Strong demand, coupled with the limited supply of stock have translated to strong appreciation in land, rent and capital values, and downward pressure on transaction yields.

  • Exponential growth in online retail sales in Australia, resulting in growing industrial space demand.

  • National and State government investments in new infrastructure projects and strategies.

HOW DO WE SUPPORT THAT?

  • Implementation and growth of the ‘Last Mile Freight’ principle through city planning and increased attention towards micro distribution centres in a more localised delivery network.

  • Emphasis on supply chain efficiency in order to deliver goods with speed and agility to Australian consumers.

  • Purpose-built warehousing, including cold storage facilities to support food and grocery sector.

  • CBRE reports that large scale multi-storey developments will start to become feasible as land becomes more in demand.

  • Prioritising Green Infrastructure in future industrial development is crucial to offset much of the environmental and economical impacts of the logistics sector.

CURRENT KEY INDUSTRY DRIVERS

 
KEY INDUSTRY DRIVERS.png
 

THE RISE OF ONLINE RETAIL

Australia’s growth in online retail sales % from 1.8% to 5.5% (between 2013 and 2018) was achieved faster than the US. (JLL, 2018)

CBRE has determined that e-commerce will create demand for an additional 350,000 sqm of new industrial and logistics space in Australia each year until 2022.

KEY CONSUMER TRENDS - WHY ARE WE SHOPPING ONLINE?

  • New payment services: Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) has continued to gain momentum in the Australian online retail market, especially for the 18 - 39 year old demographic. Think Afterpay, Zip pay, and all the other ‘pays’ out in the market.

  • Making purchases on mobile phones has become more user friendly and secure. Mobile phones allow for online purchases to be made whenever, and wherever.

  • Laziness (and equally, we’re a lot more busy!)

 
Source: JLL

Source: JLL

 

BUYING FOOD….. FROM HOME?

Australia’s food and groceries shopping expenses currently amount to 23% of all shopping expenses at a total of $173 billion AUD. Online grocery sales are projected to increase at an annual rate of 15% over the next 5 years (JLL, 2018).

To successfully grow, this platform requires the logistic scale and strength, thereby further placing demand pressures for industrial floorspace within the transport, logistics and retail sector users, and particularly for cold storage facilities and purpose-built warehousing.

Australian Online Shopping Spend by Category of Goods

Source: JLL

Source: JLL